WASHINGTON (AP) - For a 10th straight week, the number of people
who are continuing to claim jobless benefits increased, fresh evidence that the labor market remains weak despite other hopeful signs that the recession may be nearing a bottom.
New claims for unemployment benefits last week rose to a seasonally adjusted 652,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 644,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. The total number of people claiming benefits jumped to 5.56 million, worse than economists' projections of 5.48 million, a ninth straight record and the highest total on records dating back to 1967.
The dismal job news is one indicator of the overall economic pain Americans have endured early in the new year. The Commerce Department said Thursday that the economy shrank at a 6.3 percent
annual pace at the end of 2008, the worst showing in a quarter-century, and a bit faster than the 6.2 percent drop estimated a month ago.
Some economists project the economy is contracting in the current quarter at a 5 to 6 percent pace, still very weak by historical standards, but slightly better than the end of last year.
Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at IHS Global Insight, has a more bearish outlook. He expects a drop between 7 and 8 percent in the January-March period.
"On the other hand, 'the worst of the worst' is probably behind us," he added.
President Barack Obama said Thursday that it will take some time - perhaps through the rest of the year - before vigorous hiring resumes, and that might not happen until businesses see evidence the economy is rebounding.
The stock market shook off the bleak unemployment news. The Dow
Jones industrial average added about 125 points in afternoon trading, and broader indices also rose.
Consumers are cutting back under the weight of rising unemployment, falling home values and shrinking investment portfolios. Those factors have forced companies to slash production and jobs. All the negative forces are feeding on each other in a vicious cycle that has deepened the recession, now in its second year.
The number of people claiming unemployment insurance for more than a week has increased by more than 100,000 four times in the past five weeks, an indication that workers are remaining on the rolls longer as they struggle to land a new job after being laid off.
As a proportion of the work force, the number of people receiving benefits is at its highest level since May 1983, when the economy was recovering from a steep recession. The total of nearly 5.6 million is almost double that of a year ago, when about 2.8 million people were continuing to receive unemployment checks.
And that number doesn't include an additional 1.47 million people receiving benefits under an extended unemployment compensation program approved by Congress last year. That tally was as of March 7, the latest data available.
Jobless benefits typically last 26 weeks, but Congress approved federal extensions twice last year that added an extra 20 to 33 weeks, depending on each state's unemployment rate.
Looking back to the end of last year, economists were bracing for an even sharper 6.5 percent annualized decline in the government's third and final estimate of gross domestic product for the fourth quarter.
Still, the results were dismal. The economy started off 2008 on feeble footing, picked up a bit of speed in the spring and then contracted at an annualized rate of 0.5 percent in the third quarter.
The faster downhill slide in the final quarter came as the financial crisis - the worst since the 1930s - intensified.
The main culprit behind the GDP downgrade was that businesses cut inventories more deeply than estimated a month ago. That shaved 0.11 percentage points off fourth-quarter GDP, rather than adding 0.16 percentage points in the previous report.
Builders also cut spending on commercial construction more deeply through previously thought.
Many analysts believe the economy will keep shrinking at least through the first six months of this year. The government will release its initial estimate of first-quarter GDP in late April. GDP is the value of all goods and services produced within the U.S. and is the best barometer of the country's economic fitness.
There were glimmers of hope on Wednesday that Americans' appetites to spend might be stirring again. Orders for costly manufactured goods and new-home sales both logged unexpected gains in February. But economists said neither result likely foreshadowed a lasting rebound.
The unemployment rate is now at a quarter-century high of 8.1 percent and is expected to keep climbing in the months ahead. Economists predict the jobless rate could hit 10 percent at the end of this year.
More job losses were announced this week. Shaw Industries Group Inc., the world's largest carpet maker and a subsidiary of Warren Buffett's holding company Berkshire Hathaway Inc., said it would lay off about 600 workers. Pharmaceutical company Hospira Inc. said it would cut 1,450 jobs, or about 10 percent of its work force, while beleaguered automaker General Motors Corp. said it laid off 160 engineers, the beginning of 3,400 planned cuts among its salaried employees.
Among the states, Tennessee had the largest increase in initial claims with 1,394 for the week ended March 14, according to the federal data. Texas, Rhode Island, North Dakota and Connecticut reported the next largest increases.
California experienced the largest drop in initial claims with 8,555, which it attributed to fewer layoffs in the construction and services industries. Michigan, Indiana, Pennsylvania and Ohio experienced the next largest drops, which they attributed to fewer job cuts in the automobile and other manufacturing industries.
In the final quarter of last year, consumers cut spending at a 4.3 percent annualized pace, the same as previously estimated. It was the biggest decline since the second quarter of 1980.
Business cut spending on equipment and software by 28.1 percent on an annualized basis, the most since the first quarter of 1958.
The recession also is hurting corporate profits. One measure tied to the GDP report showed after-tax profits of U.S. companies dropped 10.7 percent in the fourth quarter, even worse than the 0.5 percent decline logged in the third quarter.
Both the new and old fourth-quarter GDP readings were the worst since the first quarter of 1982, when the economy, hit by a severe recession, contracted at a 6.4 percent pace.
To brace the economy, the Fed has slashed a key bank lending rate to an all-time low and has embarked on a series of radical programs to inject billions of dollars into the financial system.
The Obama administration is counting on a $787 billion package of increased government spending and tax cuts, a financial-bailout program and an effort to stem home foreclosures to help turn the economy around.
For all of last year, the economy grew just 1.1 percent, unchanged from the government's previous estimate. That was down from a 2 percent gain in 2007 and marked the slowest growth since the last recession in 2001.