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Scientists: `Small increase' in Chance of Big Quake in Reno Save Email Print
Posted: 10:58 AM Apr 25, 2008
Last Updated: 3:49 PM Apr 25, 2008
Reporter: Martin Griffith AP

A | A | A

RENO, Nev. (AP) - Reno faces a "small increase" in the chance of a major earthquake after a swarm of temblors caused high-rise casinos to sway and put visitors and residents on edge, scientists said Friday.

More than 125 mostly minor temblors rattled the Reno area over a 24-hour period ending Friday afternoon, the strongest a magnitude 4.2 quake that struck shortly before 4 p.m. Thursday.

No major damage or injuries were reported.

Hundreds of other quakes - all magnitude 3.5 or lower - have occurred since Feb. 28 in the same sequence centered around the community of Mogul, just west of Reno.

"The persistence of this particular earthquake sequence slightly increases the probability for a significant earthquake in west Reno," said a statement issued by the Nevada Seismological Laboratory at the University of Nevada, Reno.

"However, the occurrence of additional earthquake activity in the Mogul area cannot be predicted or forecast," it added.

Chances of a temblor with a magnitude of 6 or greater striking somewhere around Reno within the next 50 years is 34 percent to 98
percent, according to a study released in 2006 by the Nevada Bureau
of Mines and Geology.

Ken Smith, a seismologist at the university lab, said the recent activity around Reno is unusual in that the quakes started out small and continue to build in strength. The normal pattern is for a main quake followed by smaller aftershocks, such as the Feb. 21 quake in the northern Nevada town of Wells.

The magnitude 6 temblor in Wells, 350 miles east of Reno, has been followed by hundreds of smaller aftershocks. The quake caused an estimated $778,000 in damage to homes, schools and historic downtown buildings there.

"If the pattern continues we may be looking at a larger event" in the Reno area, Smith said Friday. "We wouldn't be surprised to see it (swarm) end at any time and it also wouldn't be surprising to see a large earthquake. The bottom line is we don't know what will happen."

More than 70 aftershocks were reported Friday, including separate magnitude 3.3 quakes that struck shortly after 1:30 a.m. and 10:30 a.m.

Reno's last major quake occurred at 12:34 a.m. on April 24, 1914. The 6.1 temblor awakened people as far away as Sacramento, Calif., and Winnemucca, prompted people to rush out of Reno saloons and hotel lobbies into streets and toppled chimneys, said Craig dePolo, research geologist with Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology.

A magnitude 5.1 quake in Reno in February 1914 caused more
damage, cracking walls and breaking windows around the city, dePolo
said.

Seismologists are unsure of the cause of the recent Reno sequence and whether it's related to the increased activity around Wells and some other Nevada locations.

"Seismic activity fluctuates over the years and we really have no idea whether they're coincidences," Smith said. "Not enough is known about Nevada's faults and their history and what their role is."

The Reno quakes have occurred in an area along the eastern Sierra riddled with faults, both mapped and unmapped. Seismologists continue to monitor the area's ground movement with the help of five stations.

"The quakes have been very shallow, which is somewhat unusual," said Tom Rennie, an analyst at the seismology lab. "You can still have a major quake even if it's shallow."

Seismology lab director John Anderson said aftershocks should continue for several days and the next 10 days will be important.

"The farther we get into that 10-day time window, the faster the chances decrease (for a major quake)."

The recent quake activity has caught the attention of locals, who were urged by local officials at a news conference Friday to prepare for the possibility of a major quake.

Nevada is the third most quake-prone state in the nation, behind California and Alaska.

"It's getting a little bit frightening," said Daryl DiBitonto of Reno. "I'm very concerned about this increase in not only activity but also in magnitude."

Earthquake magnitudes are calculated according to ground motion recorded on seismographs. An increase in one full number - from 5.5
to 6.5, for example - means the quake's magnitude is 10 times as great.

A quake with a magnitude of 6 can cause severe damage, while one
with a magnitude of 7 can cause widespread, heavy damage.

(Copyright 2008 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

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Posted by: Michele Location: Reno on Apr 26, 2008 at 09:13 PM
I have been feeling small quakes all day. It's about 9:00 pm Sat. I do believe that there will possibly be a bigger one coming here soon and it is somewhat concerning. Everytime the earth shakes I get a hot flash of blood through my body and I feel as if I am going to just pass out a little. My children are so ancy all the time about another one happening. It seems as though it really happens right when I'm about to fall asleep. I was told not to worry until things start falling and to stay away from windows when it happens and stand in a doorway. It's hard not to worry when this type of environmental activity as happening now when it has never really happened here before. I do recall however about 18 yrs ago when I was 15 and living in downtown Reno on 6th St.

Posted by: Daniela Soto Location: Reno on Apr 26, 2008 at 02:18 PM
This is the first time I go through a earthquake.I was in bed about 11:47 p.m. when I felt the house shake and I was so scared.And I even thought tjis was the end!

Posted by: RICK MIOLINI Location: RENO on Apr 26, 2008 at 11:34 AM
THIS IS MY FRIST EARTHQUAKE AND I WAS IN BED AND I WAS NERVOUS AND I GOT SCARED BIG TIME AND THIS IS A AFTERSHOCK FOR EVERY BUDY AND WHAT HAPPEN OF WE HAVE A BIG ONE AND WE NEED TO KNOW WHAT HAPPENS THANK YOU

Posted by: christyne Location: SPANISHSPINGS ,nv on Apr 26, 2008 at 08:52 AM
what about last nights earthquake, it woke up the whole family,it happend about 11:39PM- 4/25/o8. what was the magnitude of that one?

Posted by: Lisa Location: Reno on Apr 26, 2008 at 08:37 AM
I'm originally from SoCal. I experienced a 7.5 back in the 80's. I was glad when I left CA. I thought I wouldn't have to experience any more quakes. I was wrong. Last night's shaker really reminded me of the one's I grew up with. The fact, they are getting bigger rather than smaller is a major concern to me. They should be getting smaller.

Posted by: Greg Location: Reno, NV Robb Drive on Apr 26, 2008 at 07:44 AM
The one last night woke us up out of a dead sleep. My wife's Lladro figures fell over, including the 2000 millennium special edition... That was costly. They are all going back into the boxes until these tremblers mellow out. I was in the Bay Area on Oct 17, 1989 for the 7.1... I thought we got away from them. I guess as the earth heats up we are going to get more seismic activity as the earth's crust moves more. We are just gonna have to deal with it. I'll take an earthquake over a tornado any day of the week.

Posted by: Liz Location: FERNLEY on Apr 26, 2008 at 06:42 AM
I had just closed my eyes to feel the bed rolling I thought it was on of our pets but in deed it wasn't I looked at the clock and it showed 11:41. 4.2...we can feel it in Fernley!

Posted by: Carol Location: Northstar, CA on Apr 26, 2008 at 05:42 AM
At 11:40 pm, the quake woke us from a sound sleep. Our house rattled and creaked for 10-20 seconds. We thought it was one of our frequent small local quakes and were surprised to fine that it was from the Mogul swarm. We wonder whats next?

Posted by: Tiffany Location: NW Reno on Apr 26, 2008 at 02:57 AM
Just bought a new house - so glad I bought earthquake insurance.

Posted by: Chantal Location: Spanish Springs on Apr 26, 2008 at 02:33 AM
This is cause for concern, I was present for the 1989 Loma Prieta Quake In CA. I never want to be in the middle of that again. The fishers were 3 feet wide and 50 feet long on Summit road, and the after shocks kept me up for 3 days. I remember the jolt, imagine you are in the elevator on the top floor at the Atlantis Casino and you suddenly drop, that is what it was like for the after shock... I will never forget the anxiety. There has been talk about a volcano amongst the Natives around here.... please comment on this issue ..

Posted by: JEAN Location: CARSON CITY on Apr 26, 2008 at 12:34 AM
FELT A ROLLING OF THE GROUND AT 11:40 PM WHILE WATCHING TV. WOW

Posted by: Lynn_P Location: South Lake Tahoe, CA on Apr 25, 2008 at 11:56 PM
WOW, 11:45 pm or so and THAT quake shook my house and rattled things all the way here! It's the first one from Reno that I've really felt to any degree. I wonder if all of this activity has any relation to the long-time dormant volcanoes around our CA/NV area? I have been in some large earthquakes in the CA Bay Area years ago. This is the first NV one that's gotten my attention!

Posted by: sherman Location: golden valley on Apr 25, 2008 at 11:56 PM
it felt like a rollen shake, for about 5 seconds our house is a willow two story,woke me out of sound sleep.

Posted by: Jennifer Sussman Location: Kiley Ranch, Sparks on Apr 25, 2008 at 05:21 PM
The earthquake was felt at approximately 3:50 and 3:55 pm Thursday, April 24. No damage, just a good shake. I could not find the link to report the seismic activity to the appropriate facility.

Posted by: Robby Location: Sun Valley on Apr 25, 2008 at 03:40 PM
My wife felt the 3:45 one in Sun Valley on 4-24-08, while I felt both with my 2 boys of 17 and 9 on the 2nd floor of Washoe High on 2nd street in Reno. The Builing shook pretty good both times when the 4 pointers hit.

Posted by: Deborah Henry Location: Reno on Apr 25, 2008 at 02:54 PM
I love the comment made by one of my friends that felt it. and "i thought it was the potty monster!"

Posted by: neil Location: reno on Apr 25, 2008 at 12:29 PM
technically, the swarm has been continuous for over two weeks now. I am also wondering if this activity is on an existing fault as i do not see(mogul area) it on any of my maps. did the developers of sommerset know of this hazard?

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