Oil Prices Hit A Record Breaking High

By: Kimberly Chandler Email
By: Kimberly Chandler Email

Energy futures fell Thursday after the government reported a larger-than-expected decline in crude oil inventories and an unexpected rise in heating oil supplies.

One day after oil prices briefly rose to $100 a barrel for the first time, the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration said crude inventories fell by 4 million barrels last week, much more than the 1.7 million barrel decline analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires, on average, had expected.

On the other hand, inventories of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, rose by 600,000 barrels, countering analyst expectations that distillate supplies would fall by 600,000 barrels. And supplies of gasoline rose by 1.9 million barrels, more than the 1.3 million-barrel increase analysts had expected.

Oil prices were also pressured Thursday by suggestions OPEC may decide during a meeting next month to increase production. Indonesian officials plan to ask the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to boost output to bring down oil prices, Dow Jones reported.

Light, sweet crude for February delivery fell 61 cents to $99.01 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after the EIA report was released.

February gasoline fell 2.85 cents to $2.5404 a gallon on the Nymex, and February heating oil fell 1.96 cents to $2.7208 a gallon. February natural gas fell 3.1 cents to $7.819 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, February Brent crude fell 56 cents to $97.28 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

At the pump, meanwhile, gas prices rose 0.3 cent overnight to a national average of $3.052 a gallon, according to AAA and the Oil Price Information Service. Retail gas prices have rebounded in recent weeks, following oil's lead.

While some OPEC members may be tempted to boost production to bring prices down, many analysts think high prices will themselves do the trick by cutting demand.

"It is unlikely the cartel will decide to increase output quotas ahead of the normally low-demand second quarter," said Addison Armstrong, director of exchange traded markets at TFS Energy Futures LLC in Stamford, Conn., in a research note. "Furthermore, the U.S. economy is slowing, the result of which is likely to be lower demand for oil."

Indeed, there are already signs demand is slowing. Gasoline demand fell last week by 160,000 barrels, and rose only 0.1 percent over the last four weeks compared to the same period last year. Analysts consider year-over-year demand growth of under 1.5 percent to be tepid.

Also in its weekly report, the EIA said crude supplies at the closely-watched Nymex delivery terminal in Cushing, Okla., were unchanged last week at 17.5 million barrels. Falling supplies there are seen as a symptom of a tight market, and those concerns ease when Cushing inventories rise.

Refinery activity rose by 1.3 percent last week to 89.4 percent of capacity. Analysts had expected refinery use to increase by 0.4 percentage point.

Crude imports rose last week by an average of 204,000 barrels a day to 10 million barrels a day. Gasoline imports rose 136,000 barrels a day to an average of 1.2 million barrels a day.


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